Refugee Drop in Baja California

Refugee applications in Baja California plummet by 75% due to increased coordination in southern Mexico, US asylum changes, and halting of key visa issuance. Expected surge in Venezuelan migrant influx in Tijuana.

### Significant Drop in Refugee Applications in Baja California: UNHCR Highlights Multiple Factors

This year, nearly 900 individuals have initiated the process of seeking refugee status in Baja California, a striking contrast to the 4,155 applications recorded in 2023, according to Dagmara Mejía, head of the United Nations High Commissioner for Refugees (UNHCR) office in the region.

The sharp decline, approximately 75%, can be attributed to a variety of factors. Mejía noted that there has been an increased coordination effort to encourage migrants to stay in southern Mexico, starting their asylum process in states like Chiapas as per Mexican law. “This ensures they remain in the south while their application is processed and leave with their recognition,” Mejía explained.

Another significant factor is the introduction of the CBP One application for asylum requests in the United States. Many applicants have realized that processing asylum in Mexico might adversely affect their U.S. applications.

Additionally, the National Immigration Institute (INM) has halted the issuance of the Humanitarian Visa (TVRH). This visa is crucial for migrants to obtain a Federal Taxpayer Registry (RFC) and gain employment legally. “Many people are opting out of the asylum request to avoid financial instability. Instead, they seek more costly alternatives for migration regularization or attempt to cross into the United States,” Mejía added.

Moreover, the lack of the TVRH has led to dire consequences. “We’ve seen cases where women resort to survival sex and individuals living on the streets because they can’t afford rent,” Mejía disclosed.

Overall, these combined factors have significantly reduced the number of asylum applications in Baja California this year.

### Surge Expected in Venezuelan Migrant Influx in Tijuana

In addition to the noted decrease in asylum applications, local authorities are preparing for an increase in the influx of Venezuelan migrants in Tijuana. This statement comes from various local migration organizations that have noticed a trend of increasing arrivals.

Experts suggest that ongoing political and economic instability in Venezuela is driving the surge. Many Venezuelans hope to find better opportunities or seek asylum upon arriving in northern Mexico. Shelter capacities and resources are being evaluated to handle the expected increase in migrant numbers, particularly in Tijuana.

### Additional Context: Refugee and Migration Trends

Recent data indicate varying trends in global migration patterns. Economic hardships, political instability, and violence are primary drivers for migration. Countries worldwide are adjusting their policies to manage the relentless waves of migrants seeking refuge or better living conditions.

Sources:
1. UNHCR Reports on Global Refugee Trends and Challenges
2. Migration Policy Institute Studies on U.S. and Mexico Migration Agreements
3. Local News Coverage on Venezuelan Migrant Arrivals in Tijuana

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